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Market··6 min

NBSK and BHKP pulp price cycle 2026: what buyers should hedge against

A short brief on the softwood and hardwood pulp benchmarks driving kraft and PBL pricing into Q3.

Paper prices follow pulp prices with a 60–90 day lag. Buyers who track NBSK (softwood) and BHKP (hardwood) benchmarks can predict their next quote before it lands in the inbox.

The two benchmarks you need

  • NBSK (Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft): the global reference for long-fibre strength pulp. Drives sack kraft, MG and bleached bag grades.
  • BHKP (Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp): short-fibre filler. Affects bulk in bleached grades and price floors for fluff.

Where we are in the cycle

After the 2024 supply shock and 2025 destocking, NBSK has stabilised in a 1,100–1,200 USD/t band in Europe. Forecast: gradual rise into late 2026 as Chinese demand recovers and Brazilian shipments tighten.

What to do

  • Move spot exposure into 6-month contracts before Q3.
  • Indexed pricing (pulp +X €/t) is fair when both sides are transparent.
  • Hedge with second-source mill agreements in geographically diverse regions.
NBSKBHKPpulppricing

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